
The Federal Reserve lifted its benchmark rate by half a percentage point to a range of 0.75% to 1%, its largest increase in more than two decades, as US inflation runs at a 40-year high. Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is moving expeditiously to bring inflation down, and further hikes are expected.
Tighter US monetary policy strengthens the dollar and can cool demand for commodities and goods, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.