Crude oil prices jump 14% in October as Iran tensions raise supply fears; Brent hits six-month high

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Jun 11, 2025Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+15.2%
• Aug 31, 2026Oil prices jump 4% as fresh US-Iran fighting stokes supply fears+9.6%
• Sep 29, 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+1.5%
• Jan 27, 2026Crude Prices Jump to a 3-Month High on Dollar Weakness and Iran Risks+2.1%
• Jul 24, 2026Physical oil prices jump with some nearing $110 as Iran, Ukraine wars hit supply - Markets - Business Recorder-7.1%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jun 11, 2025Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+14.7%
• Aug 31, 2026Oil prices jump 4% as fresh US-Iran fighting stokes supply fears+10.8%
• Sep 29, 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+2.3%
• Jan 27, 2026Crude Prices Jump to a 3-Month High on Dollar Weakness and Iran Risks+0.6%
• Jul 24, 2026Physical oil prices jump with some nearing $110 as Iran, Ukraine wars hit supply - Markets - Business Recorder-10.4%