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Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty says the war has disrupted global shipping through losses in the Black Sea, reduced trade with Russia and Ukraine, and sanctions. The IMF warned the war will keep shipping costs high for longer, adding to pandemic-era supply chain strains.
Persistently high shipping and bunker fuel costs raise landed feed ingredient costs and support freight rates, while Black Sea disruption shifts grain flows.
commercial.allianz.comMay 1, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
