Iowa State University Study Can’t Refute that Increased Production Costs and Commensurate Supply Chain Issues Drove Increase in Fertilizer Prices

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 150 past report events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.7%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Sep 18, 2022FitchRatings: Moroccan Fertilizer Prices to Increase Amid Supply Constraints-2.6%
• Jul 8, 2024Fertilizer prices edge lower amid lower input costs and improved production prospects-0.1%
• Jul 1, 2023Maps&Facts: Declining supplies and soaring fertiliser prices: A threat to cereal production in the Sahel and West Africa+1.0%
• Feb 2, 2026Fertilizer Prices Ease to Start the Year, but Urea and Trade Risks Remain in Focus - RFD-TV+10.1%
• Feb 4, 2026Fertilizers: Weekly Increases and Prices Between 6% and 14% Above December 2025 – Dezba Inspection+0.9%

After 156 past report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 24, 2022ISU Report Supports Claims Increased Production Costs, Supply Chain Issues Led to Higher Fertilizer Prices+1.0%
• Jul 1, 2023Maps&Facts: Declining supplies and soaring fertiliser prices: A threat to cereal production in the Sahel and West Africa-0.6%
• Feb 4, 2026Fertilizers: Weekly Increases and Prices Between 6% and 14% Above December 2025 – Dezba Inspection+1.2%
• Jul 5, 2022Impacts and Repercussions of Price Increases on the Global Fertilizer Market+4.0%
• Nov 8, 2023Mosaic sees strong global fertilizer demand, restrained supply in 2024 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.9%