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December corn futures closed below $5.00 for an eighth straight session, and the market is testing a July low near $4.81. Forecasts for cooler temperatures and near- to above-average rain across the Corn Belt are favorable for the crop, while 57% of corn remains in drought and export sales lag last year.
Soybean meal rose while soybean oil fell, and soybean export sales were mixed.
Favorable mid-August weather forecasts reduce the risk premium for corn, keeping prices under pressure despite lagging demand. Higher meal and lower oil reflect diverging crush product values for feed buyers.
totalfarmmarketing.comAmanda BrillAug 3, 2023After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
