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ADM's head of grain trading said wheat prices fell on forecasts of rain in the U.S. northern plains and talk of lower Chinese corn demand, ending a rally driven by dry weather in Brazil. Russia raised its 2021 grain crop estimate, and French and UK wheat conditions improved.
Improved crop ratings in Europe and Russia and expected rain in the U.S. add supply comfort to wheat and corn. Lower Chinese demand talk also reduces import pull, though Brazil's crop losses keep longer-term support.
farming.co.ukJun 18, 2021After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wheat fell on rain forecasts for the northern plains, a higher Russian crop estimate and better French and UK crop conditions, which pointed to larger supply.
Rain forecasts for the northern plains, a larger Russian crop estimate, improved EU wheat conditions and weaker Chinese demand talk all reduce supply-risk premium for wheat.
