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Dairy margins weakened in late July as milk prices were flat and projected feed costs rose. USDA reported June milk production up 0.17% year on year, the first annual increase since October 2021, while the milking herd remained 78,000 head lower than a year earlier.
Slightly higher milk output and firm feed costs squeeze producer margins, and corn was bid higher on drought and heat forecasts, which adds cost pressure for dairy feeders.
dairyproducer.comTanya EadieAug 2, 2022After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA data showing June milk production up year over year, the first rise since October 2021, adds supply pressure to Class III futures.
