
The euro has recovered slightly from a record low of $0.958 in late September to around $1.04, but remains far below its 2021 level. Economists attribute the long depreciation mainly to the wider interest rate gap favouring the dollar, as the Fed raised rates earlier and more sharply than the ECB.
A persistent interest rate differential favouring the dollar keeps the dollar strong, which pressures US dollar-priced feed commodities for importers in euro-based markets.
After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.