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Brown Brothers Harriman notes that US 10-year yields are at their highs for the year while the dollar has struggled to gain traction. The firm calculates a 60-day correlation of 0.61 between dollar index and yield changes, rising to 0.66 over 30 days.
If rate expectations keep driving the dollar, a firmer dollar weighs on dollar-denominated commodity prices and supports the currency-linked import costs faced by feed buyers abroad.
octaafrica.netJan 26, 2017After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
