
ING forecasts the Federal Reserve will eventually raise rates and expects a US-China trade deal to boost the global economy. The article notes the Fed took a neutral stance and market pricing points to eventual easing.
It also cites a rebound in oil prices feeding through the economy.
Expected Fed policy and dollar direction shape the cost of dollar-priced feed commodities. The forecast itself is a general macro view without a fresh supply or demand shock.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.