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ING's cheat sheet ahead of the ECB's final 2020 meeting says the bank will likely take further action, including a €500 billion expansion of PEPP bond purchases. It does not expect a benchmark rate cut.
EUR/USD is trading above 1.2000, and ING sees limited scope for the easing to push the euro lower.
Limited expected currency impact means little change in euro-dollar pricing for commodities. Any surprise in the ECB's forward guidance could move the euro and dollar-priced grain and oilseed values.
exchangerates.org.ukColin LawrenceDec 9, 2020After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
