
US distillate inventories, including diesel and heating oil, are rising quickly as consumption slows. Intermodal container volumes on US railroads in October were the lowest for the time of year since 2013.
Reuters links the slowdown to decelerating global manufacturing and freight activity.
Rebuilding inventories and weaker freight demand reduce the pressure on diesel prices. A softer economy also weakens demand for transport and feed deliveries.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.