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The US diesel market is weakening as the COVID-19 downturn cuts demand, with the four-week average product supplied near 3.9 million b/d, the lowest for early April since 2016. Weekly diesel demand fell 28% and diesel refining margins dropped to $18.43 per barrel.
Falling diesel consumption and refining margins point to lower diesel prices and reduced refinery runs, a bearish signal for distillate-linked energy costs.
hydrocarbonprocessing.comApr 17, 2020After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weak US diesel demand (down 28% weekly) and shrinking refining margins gave a fundamental demand-side reason for diesel to fall.
Weak US diesel demand and shrinking refining margins before the move reflected a fundamental demand backdrop that left diesel vulnerable to the crude shock.
