Bob Cropp reports US milk production rose 0.8% in December year over year, with more cows and higher output per cow. Weaker domestic butter sales and high feed and input costs are weighing on prices.
The December Class III price was $20.50, down from its May peak.
Higher production and weaker sales point to lower 2023 milk prices, while high feed costs squeeze dairy margins and may limit feed buying.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.