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The USDA Economic Research Service cut its 2022 all-milk price forecast by 95 cents to $25.20 per cwt and its 2023 forecast by $1.65 to $22.50. The cut follows higher-than-expected summer milk output, with July production up 0.2 percent year on year.
Class III and Class IV price forecasts for 2022 were also lowered.
Higher milk output and lower price forecasts signal weaker dairy margins ahead. Lower milk prices reduce the profitability of dairy farms and may eventually lower feed demand.
dairyherd.comTaylor LeachOct 5, 2022After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
