
CoBank says US meat and poultry prices are up about 30% from 2019 and 6% year over year, which is weighing on consumer demand. Red meat output has run about 3% lower year over year since February and is expected to fall further in the second half of 2023 as fed cattle supplies decline.
Export demand for US animal protein remains firm.
Shrinking red meat supply and lower slaughter weights tighten livestock availability and support cattle prices. Softer retail demand could cap gains later in the year.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 61 past neutral report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.8%), and +2.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.