Rabobank's Animal Protein Outlook for 2019 projects slowing animal protein growth, with US beef up 3%, broilers up 3%, and pork up 5%. The report warns that trade tensions and African swine fever could disrupt meat markets in 2019.
Projected US pork and poultry output growth combined with China's ASF-driven pork shortfall points to stronger import demand for other proteins and supports feed demand from the protein sector.
After 61 past neutral report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.8%), and +2.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.