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Rabobank's Q2 Pork Quarterly says 2022 producer returns will be squeezed by higher feed, energy, freight, herd health and labor costs. Analysts expect global pork trade to decline as geopolitical conflict and trade shifts weigh on flows, and grain and protein meal costs keep rising.
Expected weaker pork trade and herd contraction in stressed regions reduce feed demand, a bearish offset to the high grain and protein meal costs that are squeezing producers.
meatpoultry.comRyan McCarthyApr 14, 2022After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
