
USDA data compiled by USMEF show June US pork exports fell 3% year over year to 207,181 tonnes, and pork value dropped 9%. Beef exports fell sharply from June 2019 as COVID-19 slowed production and foodservice demand.
USMEF expects a rebound in the second half of the year.
Weaker June export demand for pork and beef pressures US hog and cattle prices. A recovery in exports would support prices in the second half of the year.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.