USDA's October WASDE projected lower 2016 prices for steers, hogs, broilers, and eggs, with large supplies expected to pressure prices into 2017. Record red meat and poultry output is forecast for 2017.
Ample protein supplies and falling animal prices reduce livestock producers' incentive to expand, which can soften demand for feed grains and meals.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.