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Rabobank's semi-annual Fertiliser Outlook says most fertiliser prices are returning to historical averages, with urea already below historical levels. Further fertiliser price cuts are expected over the rest of 2023, especially for phosphates.
Lower phosphate and urea costs improve feed-crop grower affordability and could support planting economics, but global fertiliser demand will take two to three years to recover to pre-pandemic levels.
farmersweekly.co.nzGerald PiddockMay 29, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 42 past bearish report events, Urea moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.9% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 35 past bearish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rabobank expects further price cuts especially for phosphates, reinforcing bearish sentiment, though it is a forward-looking outlook published at the end of the window.
