
Dutch natural gas rose 24% to €40 per MWh after news of potential industrial action at Australian LNG plants. US natural gas prices have climbed 18% in August so far.
Higher gas prices raise energy and nitrogen fertilizer costs, feeding through to feed production costs and prices.
After 54 past bullish logistics events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.8% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -5.7% to +6.2%), and +5.1% over 20.
After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.