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U.S. natural gas prices rose sharply in November, while the Permian Waha hub in west Texas fell to 25 cents/MMBtu for several hours due to pipeline capacity limits. EIA expects strong production growth to pressure prices lower in 2019.
Pipeline bottlenecks create regional price gaps, and EIA's forecast of lower 2019 prices suggests cheaper gas-based energy costs ahead for U.S. processors.
After 54 past bullish logistics events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.8% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -5.7% to +6.2%), and +5.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.