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StoneX analyst Josh Linville says shipments through the Suez Canal have fallen as vessels take longer routes around Africa. He estimates added vessel costs of $500,000 to $700,000 per voyage, or about $15 to $25 per ton for fertilizer.
Higher freight from Red Sea rerouting adds several dollars per ton to imported urea and phosphate, which will likely raise delivered fertilizer prices for US farmers.
brownfieldagnews.comCarah HartJan 18, 2024After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
