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DTN retail data for late March 2024 show all eight major fertilizers priced higher than a month earlier, with urea up 8% to an average of $576 per ton. Analysts said the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse has closed the Port of Baltimore, which handles about 10% of US UAN imports, and could cause spring UAN supply disruptions.
Port closure risks tighter US nitrogen supply during the spring application window, supporting higher fertilizer costs for farmers. Higher input costs can reduce planted acreage and affect future grain and feed supply.
dtnpf.comDTN Progressive FarmerMay 1, 2024After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
