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Hoosier Ag Today reports that about 60 percent of Wuhan's 14.7 million tonnes of annual finished phosphate output is offline due to coronavirus shutdowns. Remaining plants are running at reduced rates, and labor and logistics constraints will slow recovery.
RaboResearch expects tighter phosphate exports and possibly weaker ammonia demand from China.
Lost Chinese phosphate exports tighten global DAP supply and push prices higher. Weaker Chinese ammonia demand could pressure urea and other nitrogen prices.
hoosieragtoday.comProductionMar 11, 2020After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 64 past logistics events, UREA moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
