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The rand edged toward R20 per dollar, falling nearly 2% to R19.63 at one point before stabilising. The article links the currency slide to El Niño-driven uncertainty over global grain prices and to US rate expectations.
Because grains are priced in dollars, a weaker rand lifts South African feed and food costs, and El Niño adds upside risk to global grain prices.
businessday.co.zaAndries MahlanguOct 5, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
