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Grain futures showed signs of the recent rally tiring before finding support from the Treasury's plan to buy back government debt, which sent the dollar index lower. The Treasury said it would more than double repurchases of longer-dated notes and bonds after the 30-year yield hit its highest since 2007.
A weaker dollar and capital flowing into commodities could help grain prices absorb expected fall harvest pressure, making financial conditions a key price driver.
farmweeknow.comJOE CAMPSep 1, 2026After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
