The November WASDE left US wheat production unchanged, with a moderate increase in wheat stocks and little change in exports. USDA cut Argentina's wheat crop by 1.5 million tonnes and added 5 million tonnes to Russia's production, bringing it to 90 million tonnes.
A larger Russian crop adds competition in export markets and weighs on wheat prices, which can lower the cost of wheat used in feed rations. The Argentine cut partly offsets this for the global balance.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.