The dollar index rebounded to 104.05 on December 5 after US JOLTS job openings fell to 8.73 million while ISM services rose to 52.7. The euro fell to 1.0785 and the offshore yuan rose to 7.1735 after Moody's warned it may downgrade China.
A firmer dollar and weaker yuan raise the cost of dollar-priced feed imports into China, while the Moody's warning adds to concerns about Chinese demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.