The euro slipped below $1.16 on November 28 after mixed euro-area data, including weak German retail sales and steady French and Italian inflation. The currency was pressured toward a 17-month low as energy prices, fiscal worries in France and rate expectations weighed on sentiment.
A firmer dollar makes US feed grains, soybean meal and DDGS less expensive for overseas buyers, which can soften US export demand and futures. Feed buyers should watch the dollar for its effect on import costs and export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.