Euro-Dollar Rally May Stall Below 1.20: Rabobank

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• May 31, 2023Euro To Dollar Rate: "On Course For H2 Target Of 1.06" Say Rabobank-0.3%
• Jul 13, 2022Explainer: Why the euro's fall below parity versus dollar matters+1.7%
• Mar 15, 2023Pound falls vs dollar, rises vs euro on bank woes+0.4%
• Nov 28, 2025Euro Slips Below $1.16 on Mixed EU Data+0.6%
• Jun 19, 2024Dollar struggles for direction, euro close to 1-1/2-month low-0.5%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• May 31, 2023Euro To Dollar Rate: "On Course For H2 Target Of 1.06" Say Rabobank-0.5%
• Jul 13, 2022Explainer: Why the euro's fall below parity versus dollar matters-0.8%
• Mar 15, 2023Pound falls vs dollar, rises vs euro on bank woes-0.1%
• Nov 28, 2025Euro Slips Below $1.16 on Mixed EU Data-0.5%
• Dec 9, 2021Dollar gains, equity rally stalls as caution returns+0.8%