
USDA's January WASDE raised the U.S. soybean meal season-average price forecast by $10 to $390 per short ton and lowered the soybean oil price by 4 cents to 57 cents per pound. Global oilseed production for 2023/24 was lowered to 661.0 million tons, mainly on Brazil and Argentina cuts.
Lower South American soybean output and a higher meal price forecast support soymeal values for feed buyers, while softer oil pricing reflects weaker vegetable oil demand expectations.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.