
USDA's December 1 Cattle on Feed report showed November placements up 14% year over year and on-feed inventory up 8%. Feedlot margins averaged $235 per head in 2017, motivating further placements into 2018.
Strong placements mean higher feed grain and feed ingredient demand through 2018, while feeder cattle prices are expected to face pressure from rising supplies.
After 126 past bearish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.