
USDA projects global soybean production in 2024/25 to rise more than 6% to a record 422 million tons. U.S. soybean exports are forecast near 50 million tons on lower Brazilian supplies, and U.S. stocks are projected at a four-year high.
Record global supply and rising U.S. stocks point to softer soybean prices, while strong biofuel demand supports U.S. crush and meal and oil values.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.