
The dollar fell to a three-week low on June 3 after weaker-than-expected US manufacturing and construction spending data. The readings suggested the economy is gradually slowing and that the Fed is on track to begin cutting rates.
A softer dollar and expectations of Fed easing typically support dollar-priced commodities and make US exports more competitive. Slowing US demand could offset some of that support for industrial-linked commodities.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,108 past macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.6%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.