
The dollar fell to a two-week low against the euro and a basket of currencies after U.S. private payrolls rose less than expected in August. The dollar index was last down 0.36% at 103.16, after falling from 104.44 the previous Friday.
Markets priced an 89% chance the Fed would hold rates in September.
A weaker dollar makes U.S. dollar-priced feed commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, which can support export demand and grain and meal prices. Softer data also reduces the odds of further Fed hikes, easing pressure on the currency.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,108 past macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.6%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.