
The U.S. dollar index fell more than 0.6% on June 20, 2019 to 96.58, its lowest in two weeks, after the Fed kept rates at 2.50% but dropped the word patient from its statement. Markets increased their bets on one or two rate cuts later in the year.
The losses followed a 0.4% drop the previous day.
The Fed's dovish language raised expectations of lower U.S. rates, which pressures the dollar and can support dollar-priced agricultural commodities. The price effect depends on how durable the rate-cut expectations prove.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar index fell over 0.6% on June 20 after the Fed dropped 'patient' from its statement, directly matching the move.