
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell as much as 0.9% after weak US manufacturing, housing and consumer confidence data, as traders bet the Fed will slow its rate hikes. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.02% and the euro moved past parity with the dollar.
Expectations of a slower Fed pace weaken the dollar, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities and improve import affordability for feed buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.