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A surge in the US dollar against most major currencies is squeezing policymakers abroad, with weaker currencies fueling imported inflation and dollar debts becoming costlier. Indonesia intervened this week to defend its currency as capital flowed out, while the Fed's hawkish tone contrasts with the ECB's expected June cut.
Weaker emerging-market currencies raise the local cost of imported feed and can curb demand from key importers, adding downward pressure on dollar-priced grain and meal.
axios.comNeil IrwinApr 18, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
