
USDA data showed US milk production in July 2024 at 18.915 billion pounds, 0.4% below a year earlier, with the number of cows milked slightly lower. USDA revised its 2024 and 2025 milk production forecasts downward and raised its all-milk price forecast to $22.30 per cwt for 2024.
Lower production and firmer price forecasts tighten dairy supply, supporting milk prices and dairy margins while modestly affecting dairy-feed demand.
After 237 past bullish report events, MILK moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.