
Wheat futures were slightly higher on Monday morning after Friday losses across Chicago, Kansas City and Minneapolis, with December Chicago up 11.5 cents on the week. Analysts expect USDA's Small Grains Summary to cut all-wheat production by 16 million bushels to 1.966 billion.
Expected USDA production cuts and a smaller EU crop estimate support wheat prices ahead of the report.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.