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StoneX economist Arlan Suderman said the October USDA report held few surprises, with U.S. corn production raised and soybean production lowered slightly. He said U.S. grain and oilseed supplies are ample and that markets have priced this in.
The focus now shifts to finding demand and to U.S. and South American weather.
With supplies amply covering demand, the market is vulnerable to lower prices unless weather changes the outlook. Demand prospects look better for corn and wheat than for soybeans.
brownfieldagnews.comCarah HartOct 11, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
