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European industries are bracing for a new gas price shock over the winter as colder weather depletes stocks. Competition with Asia for LNG is intensifying, and reduced Russian supplies are looming.
The article notes the prospect of a supply squeeze on the continent.
A European gas price shock raises ammonia and urea production costs, lifting nitrogen fertilizer prices. Tighter global LNG competition can also support US gas prices.
reuters.comReutersJan 1, 2025After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 30 past bullish weather events, Urea moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.6%), and +9.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
