
CBOT corn, wheat and soybeans rose on January 29 as traders weighed a possible 25% US tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports due February 1. Corn hit a 15-month high, wheat a 6-week high and soybeans a six-month high amid Brazilian planting and harvest delays.
Argentine drought also weighs on the South American crop outlook.
Tariff uncertainty and South American weather delays are lifting grain futures, and buyers face higher feed costs if the Brazil and Argentina supply shortfalls persist.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.