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The American Soybean Association economist analyzes the growth of Chinese soybean demand, citing USDA forecasts of 117.4 million tons consumption in 2020/21 and China's share of world soybean consumption rising from 9.3% to 31.8%. Strong fall U.S. soybean flows to China are also discussed.
China accounts for about 60% of world soybean imports, so structural demand growth underpins soybean prices. Questions about future export growth add some uncertainty to the outlook.
soygrowers.comDec 3, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
