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Industry commentary says the collapse of the US-China trade deal increases the need for a South American soybean derivatives contract. The piece cites an expert view and gives no new trade data.
A trade-war-driven push for a South American derivatives contract could shift hedging and price discovery away from US benchmarks, adding some bearish pressure on soy derivatives pricing.
fow.comJames ThursfieldMay 28, 2019After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
