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President Trump said he told Japan and China they cannot keep weakening their currencies, calling it unfair to the United States. The remarks came as new 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada took effect and China's duties doubled to 20%.
Currency pressure tied to tariff escalation raises trade-war risk for US farm exports to China and Japan, and tariff retaliation weighs on feed grain and meal demand.
reuters.comLeika KiharaMar 3, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 22 past bearish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
