
The yuan fell below 7 per dollar for the first time since 2008, prompting the US to label China a currency manipulator. Analysts see the devaluation as a response to new US tariff threats that would cover nearly all Chinese imports.
A weaker yuan offsets US tariffs for Chinese buyers and encourages them to shift away from US farm goods, pressuring US soybean and grain export demand.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 22 past bearish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.