Loading…
The Chinese renminbi fell to a 13-month low against the dollar amid a worsening US trade dispute and a slowing economy growing 6.5% in the current quarter. Analysts speculate Beijing may be allowing depreciation to offset tariff costs.
A weakening renminbi and slowing Chinese growth reduce demand for imported feed ingredients and raise the cost of imports. The tariff dispute adds downside risk to US agricultural exports to China.
eastasiaforum.orgAug 22, 2018After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
